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On the season, the Jags have yielded the NFL’s fourth-fewest yards (603) to tight ends.
Score Prediction: Jaguars 23, Titans 20 New Orleans @ Tampa Bay Team Totals: Saints 28.5, Buccaneers 21.5 The Saints still have playoff seeding at stake in this road trip to Tampa Bay, which has yielded eight rushing TDs in its last five games and got trampled by Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara for 231 combined all-purpose yards and two touchdowns when these teams met in Week 9.
Watson’s last six target totals are 1 6, and he has cleared 50 yards twice all season.
This is a good spot for Baltimore’s D/ST and a poor one for Andy Dalton, who has finished QB18 or worse in three straight starts.
It helps that he has double-digit targets in three of his last four.
13-of-15 quarterbacks to face Jacksonville have logged fantasy results of QB14 or worse, while Mariota himself has been a top-14 weekly scorer in just 4 of his last 13 starts. De Marco Murray (MCL) was ruled out on Friday, and it would be a surprise to see him even should Tennessee sneak into the Wild Card Round.Volume is forever king at the running back position, and Henry's workload projection is as high as any back's on the Week 17 slate.Mariota’s post-bye target distribution: Delanie Walker 57; Corey Davis 50; Eric Decker 40; Rishard Matthews 37; Murray 26; Henry 10. Only six wide receivers all year have cleared 60 yards against the Jaguars, and only five have topped 70 yards.Inside-outside threat Keelan Cole leads the Jags in targets (22), catches (13), and receiving yards (294) over the past two weeks, running higher-percentage routes than Dede Westbrook.Cole also has a better Week 17 matchup against a Titans defense that limits big plays but is vulnerable on the interior, where they’ve been damaged by Doug Baldwin (10/105/1), Jeremy Maclin (8/98/0), Brandon La Fell (6/95/1), Allen Hurns (6/82/1), Braxton Miller (4/71/0), Cooper Kupp (4/65/1), and Jarvis Landry (5/44/1). Westbrook is Jacksonville’s superior big-play threat, yet Tennessee has allowed the NFL’s fourth-fewest completions of 20-plus yards (36).In last week’s win over the Colts, Collins logged a season high in routes run (15) and his second-highest snap rate (53%) of the year. With multiple touchdown passes in four straight starts, Joe Flacco has shown significant late-season improvement after overcoming an August back injury.